physicalreasoning

physicalreasoning/isotherm

Open, calibrated decision model for prediction markets. Walk-forward benchmark, cost-aware backtests, a sealed lockbox test and a live shadow ledger on Kalshi temperature ladders.

3 good first / help-wanted issues · Python · last activity Oct 11, 2026

1 stars 0 forks 1 watchers Python Apache License 2.0
forecasting kalshi machine-learning prediction-markets quantitative-finance
3 Open Issues Need Help Last updated: Oct 11, 2026

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good first issue infra
physicalreasoning/isotherm
1

Open, calibrated decision model for prediction markets. Walk-forward benchmark, cost-aware backtests, a sealed lockbox test and a live shadow ledger on Kalshi temperature ladders.

Python
#forecasting#kalshi#machine-learning#prediction-markets#quantitative-finance
physicalreasoning/isotherm
1

Open, calibrated decision model for prediction markets. Walk-forward benchmark, cost-aware backtests, a sealed lockbox test and a live shadow ledger on Kalshi temperature ladders.

Python
#forecasting#kalshi#machine-learning#prediction-markets#quantitative-finance
physicalreasoning/isotherm
1

Open, calibrated decision model for prediction markets. Walk-forward benchmark, cost-aware backtests, a sealed lockbox test and a live shadow ledger on Kalshi temperature ladders.

Python
#forecasting#kalshi#machine-learning#prediction-markets#quantitative-finance